John R. Freeman (Ph.D., University of Minnesota, l978) is the John Black Johnston Distinguished Professor in the College of Liberal Arts and a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He has been a visiting professor at the University Michigan and a consultant to international businesses, banks, the armed services and law firms. Among his honors are the Morse-Alumni All-University and College of Liberal Arts Distinguished Teaching Awards. Freeman is the author of Democracy and Markets: The Politics of Mixed Economies (Cornell University Press) and the co-author of Three Way Street: Strategic Reciprocity in World Politics (University of Chicago Press). The first of these books won the International Studies Association's Quincy Wright Award. It has been translated into Chinese. Freeman also edited three volumes of Political Analysis (University of Michigan Press). He has (co)authored numerous research articles in academic journals. Many of Freeman's research projects have been supported by the National Science Foundation. The Bank Austria Foundation and Austrian Ministry of Science also have supported his research.
Freeman has held many professional posts including President of the American Political Science Association's Section for Political Methodology. In addition, he has been a member of three NSF review panels and of three NSF select committees. At present, Freeman is engaged in several research projects. One analyzes the implications of economic globalization--especially financial integration--for democratization and political accountability. Another applies Bayesian time series methods in the study of intra and international political conflict. It develops a technology to forecast conflict in the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia. The NSF supported this project.
Educational Background & Specialties
Ph.D.: University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, 1978.
POL8120: Core Course in Models and Methods
POL8125: Dynamic Analysis
POL8637: Comparative Political Economy
HSEM3052: Democracy and Markets
HSEM3050: The Politics of World Trade and Money
POL1025: Global Politics
POL4481/5481 Governments and Markets
Research & Professional Activities
Panelist and External Reviewer: National Science Foundation
Participant: Joint Princeton University-Peking University Conference on International Political Economy, Beijing , Dec 2008
Instructor: Bloc Courses in Time Series Analysis, University of Freiburg, June 2008; Academia Sinica (IPSAS), Taipei, July 2009.
- Erdös Number: 4
- Time Series Analysis for Social Scientists. Freeman, John, Janet Box-Steffensmeier, Matthew Hitt and Jon Pevehouse, Cambridge University Press, Author, 2014.
- The Politics of Indebted Economic Growth. 1985. Denver Monograph Series in World Affairs.
- "Evaluating Forecasts of Political Conflict Dynamics," With Patrick Brandt and Philip Schrodt. 2014. International Journal of Forecasting 30 (4): 944-962.
- “Dynamic Elicited Priors for Updating Covert Networks” With Jeff Gill. 2013. Network Science 1 (1): 68-94.
- "The Economic Origins of Democracy Reconsidered." With Dennis Quinn. 2012. American Political Science Review. 106(1): 58-80.
- Symposium on Models of Path Dependence [Introductory Essay]. With John Jackson. 2012. Political Analysis. 20(2): 137-145.
- “Real Time, Time Series Forecasting of Inter-and Intra-State Political Conflict“ With
Patrick Brandt and Philip Schrodt. 2011. Conflict Management and Peace Science. 28(1): 58-80.
- “Democratic Accountability in Open Economies“ With Patrick Brandt and Thomas Sattler.
2010 Quarterly Journal of Political Science 5: 71-97.
- “Modeling Macropolitical Dynamics“ With Patrick Brandt. 2009 Political Analysis 17(2):
- “Political Accountability and the Room to Maneuver: The Search for a Causal Chain“
With Thomas Sattler and Patrick Brandt. 2008 Comparative Political Studies, 41(9): 1212-1239;
2009 Corrigendum 42(1): 125-131. Winner of 2007 Robert H. Durr Award, Midwest Political
- “Democracy and Markets in the Twenty-First Century: An Agenda.“ In Democracy in the
Twenty-First Century Peter Nardulli Editor, Champaign, Illinois: University of Illinois
- “Advances in Bayesian Time Series Modeling and the Study of Politics: Theory Testing,
Forecasting and Policy Analysis“ with Patrick T. Brandt. 2006 Political Analysis 14(1):1-36.
- “Exchange Rate Volatility and Democratization in Emerging Market Countries“ with Jude
C. Hays and Hans Nesseth. 2003 International Studies Quarterly 47(2): 203-228.
- “Competing Commitments: Technocracy and Democracy in the Design of Monetary
Institutions.“ 2002. Special issue of International Organization 56(4): 889-910. Reprinted in The Political Economy of Monetary Institutions William Bernhard, Lawrence Broz, and William
Clark Editors Cambridge, Massachusetts: M.I.T. Press, 2003.
- “Economic Consequences of Political Approval Management in Comparative Perspective.“
With Daniel Houser. 2001. Journal of Comparative Economics 29: 692-721.
- “Democracy and Markets: The Case of Exchange Rates.“ With Jude C. Hays and Helmut
Stix. 2000. American Journal of Political Science 44(3): 449-468. Working paper number 39.
Working paper series of the Austrian National Bank.
- “Long-memoried Processes, Unit Roots, and Causal Inference in Political Science.“ With
Daniel Houser, John Williams, and Paul Kellstedt. 1998. American Journal of Political Science
- “A Computable Equilibrium Model for the Study of Political Economy.“ 1998. With Daniel
Houser. American Journal of Political Science 42(2): 628-660.
- “The Politics of Public and Private Investment in Britain.“ With James Alt. 1993. In The
Comparative Political Economy of the Welfare State T. Janoski and A.Hicks Editors. New York:
Cambridge University Press.
- Democracy and Markets: The Politics of Mixed Economies. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University
Press, 1989; Second printing 1991. Chinese language version published by Wu-Nan Book
Company, Ltd., 1994. Winner, Quincy Wright Book Award, International Studies Association.
- “U.S.-Soviet-Chinese Relations: Routine, Reciprocity, or Rational Expectations?“ With
Joshua S. Goldstein. 1991. American Political Science Review 85(1): 17-36.
- Three-Way Street: Strategic Reciprocity in World Politics (with Joshua S. Goldstein). Chicago:
University of Chicago Press, 1990.
- “Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships“
1989. Political Analysis vol. 1. James Stimson Editor. Ann Arbor, Michigan: The University of
- “Vector Autoregression and the Study of Politics.“ With John T. Williams and Tse-min Lin.
1989. American Journal of Political Science 33(4): 842-877.
- The Politics of Indebted Economic Growth 1985. Denver Monograph Series in World Affairs.
Denver, Colorado: University of Denver.
Lifetime Achievement Award, Political Methodology Section, American Political Science Association, 2014
Outstanding Reviewer Award, Political Analysis, 2014
Michael Wallerstein Award for Best Paper Published in Political Economy in 2012, With Dennis Quinn for “The Economic Origins of Democracy Reconsidered. APSA Section in Political Economy.
Development of a Technology for Real-Time Ex Ante Forecasting of Intra and International Conflict Patrick Brandt and Philip Schrodt collaborators, The National Science Foundation, 2009-2011
Fellow, Political Methodology Section/Society, American Political Science Association, 2008
Gosnell Award, for best research on political methodology presented at a conference. With Jeff Gill for “Dynamic Elicited Priors for Updating Covert Networks,“ 2008
Robert H. Durr Award, Best Paper Applying Quantitative Methods to A Substantive Problem in Political Science (with T.Sattler & P. Brandt), 2006
Government Responsibility Attributions and the Room to Maneuver Debate, TESS, National Science Foundation, 2005 - 2006
Bayesian Time Series Models for the Analysis of International Conflict, Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 2004 - 2006
Fellow, American Academy of Arts and Science, 2009
CLA Deans Medal for Excellence in Research, 2009
Fellow, Political Methodology Section, American Political Science Association, 2008
McKnight Distinguished University Professorship
Award for Outstanding Contributions to Postbaccalaureate, Graduate, and Professional Education
Academy of Distinguished Teachers, University of Minnesota
Morse-Alumni Teaching Award, CLA Teaching Award
Distinguished Teaching Award. College of Liberal Arts, University of Minnesota