Rotor-area wind characteristics and connections with synoptic-scale drivers
Abstract: Wind speed is the most important determinant of wind energy generation but the profile of turbulence, wind shear, and wind veer across a wind turbine’s rotor area can further enhance or reduce power output. In this talk I’ll share results from a collaborative project with Jacob Coburn (Cornell University) that uses wind profile measurements from the Eolos Wind Research Station in Rosemount, Minnesota, to characterize the diurnal and seasonal variability of rotor-area winds and their connections with synoptic-scale weather patterns. Using a cluster-based classification scheme, we identify 15 synoptic (weather) patterns at the Eolos site and derive mean wind profile characteristics for each pattern. We use our synoptic classification in a simple regression model to show that a synoptic classification that incorporates wind profile data can enhance wind energy projections at monthly to seasonal time scales that often rely on wind speed alone.